Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jacoby Brissett

NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to total 4.0 rush attempts this week, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (12.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.1% in games he has played).
The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
The Los Angeles Chargers defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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