Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jacoby Brissett

NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.5% run rate.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to total 3.8 carries in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to be much more involved in his offense's run game this week (13.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.0% in games he has played).
The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 10th-least yards in football (just 113 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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