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Jacoby Brissett
NFL · Player Props
Jacoby Brissett
QB · Cleveland Browns
Rushing TD
Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 27, 2022 6:06 PM EST
NFL Props Jacoby Brissett Rushing TD

Jacoby Brissett Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+434/-989).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -953 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -989.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 49.0% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack near the goal line this week (16.4% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.4% in games he has played).
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.
Favors Under
  • The Browns are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-least touchdowns in football (0.50 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
  • The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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