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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 240.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 227.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 240.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -14-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • Jacoby Brissett is positioned as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL since the start of last season with a stellar 66.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 84th percentile.
  • With a stellar 7.48 adjusted yards-per-target (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, Jacoby Brissett places as one of the most effective passers in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 125.5 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, conceding 6.90 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in football.
  • The 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.25 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in football.
  • The 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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