Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jacoby Brissett

NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

Passing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 5:46 PM EST

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 223.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 223.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Jacoby Brissett has thrown for substantially more yards per game (234.0) this season than he did last season (125.0).
Jacoby Brissett's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 60.2% to 65.6%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, surrendering 7.33 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.43 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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