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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 223.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 223.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Jacoby Brissett has thrown for substantially more yards per game (234.0) this season than he did last season (125.0).
  • Jacoby Brissett's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 60.2% to 65.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, surrendering 7.33 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in the league.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.43 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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