Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jacoby Brissett

NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

Passing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 227.5 (-130/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 223.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 227.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Jacoby Brissett has passed for significantly more yards per game (239.0) this season than he did last season (125.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.81 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in football.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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