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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are huge underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 4th-least pass-focused offense in the league (55.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This week, Jacoby Brissett is anticipated by the projections to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.3.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in football.

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