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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Interceptions
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

Jacoby Brissett Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.

The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (35.2 per game) since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 4th-least pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.3% pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 122.0 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Patriots since the start of last season (just 56.3 per game on average).

The projections expect Jacoby Brissett to attempt 28.0 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season.

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