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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

Jacoby Brissett Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.

The Buffalo Bills have intercepted 1.33 passes per game this year, grading out as the best defense in the NFL by this statistic.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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