Jacoby Brissett Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

Completions

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Jacoby Brissett's throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 60.2% to 66.1%.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in football vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (74.8%).
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 31.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.