Jack Stoll Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jack Stoll

NFL · Player Props

Jack Stoll

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jack Stoll Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+114/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
Jack Stoll has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (36.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (11.8%).
Jack Stoll has put up quite a few more air yards this year (9.0 per game) than he did last year (1.0 per game).
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has given their QB 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 36.0) vs. tight ends this year.

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