Jack Stoll Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jack Stoll

NFL · Player Props

Jack Stoll

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Jack Stoll Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jack Stoll has run fewer routes this year (35.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (11.8%).
Jack Stoll has notched quite a few more air yards this year (9.0 per game) than he did last year (1.0 per game).
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (79.4%) to TEs this year (79.4%).

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
Jack Stoll has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends, catching just 63.8% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.
The New York Giants have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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