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Jack Stoll

Jack Stoll Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jack Stoll Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jack Stoll to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this week (9.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.0% in games he has played).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
  • Jack Stoll has been among the weakest pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging just 9.0 yards per game while checking in at the 15th percentile among tight ends.

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