Jack Stoll Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Jack Stoll

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jack Stoll Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jack Stoll to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this week (9.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.0% in games he has played).
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
Jack Stoll has been among the weakest pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging just 9.0 yards per game while checking in at the 15th percentile among tight ends.