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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-113/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs as the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Isiah Pacheco to be a much smaller part of his offense's ground game this week (26.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (43.3% in games he has played).

Isiah Pacheco has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (38.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).

Isiah Pacheco's 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a material drop-off in his running ability over last year's 4.7 rate.

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