Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 17, 2024

Updated Dec 25, 2024 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run on 37.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
The model projects Isiah Pacheco to be much less involved in his team's running game in this game (45.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (56.0% in games he has played).
Isiah Pacheco's 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a noteable regression in his running talent over last season's 69.0 mark.
Isiah Pacheco's 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a meaningful drop-off in his rushing talent over last season's 4.7 rate.

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