Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans · Week 16, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.4 per game on average).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 8th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.2% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.
While Isiah Pacheco has garnered 56.0% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Kansas City's ground game this week at 45.7%.
Isiah Pacheco has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (53.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).
Isiah Pacheco's ground efficiency has worsened this year, averaging just 3.92 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.74 figure last year.

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