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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Isiah Pacheco to garner 16.6 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Isiah Pacheco has been much more involved in his team's run game this year (65.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (40.9%).

When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL last year.

Isiah Pacheco's 74.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a noteworthy improvement in his rushing proficiency over last year's 50.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 35.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 101.0 per game) versus the Ravens defense this year.

The Ravens defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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