Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 5.5 points.
In this game, Isiah Pacheco is forecasted by the model to slot into the 95th percentile among RBs with 17.8 rush attempts.
After accounting for 40.9% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Isiah Pacheco has had a larger role in the run game this season, now comprising 63.0%.
When talking about opening holes for runners (and the ramifications it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in football last year.
Isiah Pacheco has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).

Favors Under

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to run on 38.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.

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