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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • In this week's contest, Isiah Pacheco is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 80th percentile among RBs with 14.5 rush attempts.
  • After making up 40.9% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Isiah Pacheco has been more involved in the running game this year, now accounting for 61.9%.
  • In regards to run support (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL last year.
  • Isiah Pacheco has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 36.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the best collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.

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