Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 7, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Isiah Pacheco to total 10.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among RBs.
Isiah Pacheco has received 40.9% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a mere 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
The Kansas City Chiefs have elected to go for it on 4th down a measly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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