Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 4:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chiefs are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 64.8 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 36.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.
The Kansas City Chiefs have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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