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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs are a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Isiah Pacheco to accumulate 12.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.29 yards-per-carry.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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