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Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-113/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -113.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Chiefs are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Isiah Pacheco to total 15.0 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among running backs.THE BLITZ projects Isiah Pacheco to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (62.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (41.8% in games he has played).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 35.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on just 1.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.The Kansas City Chiefs have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
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