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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.4 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

With an impressive 8.7% Target Share (75th percentile) this year, Isiah Pacheco has been among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Isiah Pacheco's 77.2% Adjusted Completion% this season shows an impressive regression in his receiving talent over last season's 87.8% mark.

This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has conceded a measly 77.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the best rate in football.

The Texans defensive ends profile as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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