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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this game, Isiah Pacheco is projected by the model to finish in the 88th percentile among RBs with 4.1 targets.

Isiah Pacheco has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this year (9.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (2.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Isiah Pacheco's 87.3% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 100.0% mark.

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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