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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 68.5% pass rate.

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

Isiah Pacheco's 46.2% Route Participation% this year marks a substantial improvement in his air attack usage over last year's 19.3% mark.

The leading projections forecast Isiah Pacheco to accrue 3.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Isiah Pacheco's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 100.0% to 89.4%.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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