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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their opportunities: the highest frequency on the slate this week.

Isiah Pacheco has been more involved as a potential target this season (44.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (19.3%).

The predictive model expects Isiah Pacheco to total 4.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Isiah Pacheco's 3.0 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys an impressive progression in his receiving skills over last year's 0.8 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Bills, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.8 per game) this year.

Isiah Pacheco's 88.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a material regression in his receiving skills over last season's 100.0% figure.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Buffalo's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the NFL.

More Isiah Pacheco Player Props

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