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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Isiah Pacheco to accrue 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.5%) to running backs this year (77.5%).

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