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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.

In this week's contest, Isiah Pacheco is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 92nd percentile among running backs with 4.8 targets.

Isiah Pacheco has been a more important option in his offense's passing game this season (9.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (2.2%).

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

Isiah Pacheco's 2.7 adjusted catches per game this year reflects an impressive progression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 0.8 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a massive 10.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Isiah Pacheco's 85.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 100.0% rate.

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