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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (68.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Isiah Pacheco's 9.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a substantial growth in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 7.6% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 26.4 per game) this year.

Isiah Pacheco has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (32.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.7%).

When it comes to air yards, Isiah Pacheco grades out in the measly 9th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -3.0 per game.

Isiah Pacheco has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (9.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).

Isiah Pacheco's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 87.8% to 73.6%.

More Isiah Pacheco Player Props

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