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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense last year: most in the league.

Isiah Pacheco has run a route on 46.2% of his team's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.

In this contest, Isiah Pacheco is predicted by the projections to finish in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.6 targets.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the model projects the Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.

As it relates to air yards, Isiah Pacheco ranks in the lowly 2nd percentile among running backs last year, totaling just -7.0 per game.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. running backs last year, allowing 5.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

The Ravens safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL last year in covering pass-catchers.

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