My Account Log Out

reorder

Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Isiah Pacheco has been much more involved in his offense's air attack this year (8.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (2.2%).

Isiah Pacheco's 22.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a a material gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 8.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

As it relates to air yards, Isiah Pacheco grades out in just the 13th percentile among running backs this year, with just -5.0 per game.

Isiah Pacheco's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 100.0% to 80.4%.

This year, the formidable Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered a meager 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 4th-best in football.

The Vikings safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Isiah Pacheco Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™