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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Isiah Pacheco to accrue 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This year, the formidable Bengals defense has given up the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a mere 5.2 yards.

This year, the daunting Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a paltry 4.8 YAC.

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