Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 69.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Isiah Pacheco has been among the most reliable receivers in football among RBs, catching a stellar 100.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 100th percentile.
Isiah Pacheco has been among the most effective receivers in football among RBs, averaging an impressive 10.15 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a massive 12.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Isiah Pacheco has compiled a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among running backs.
Isiah Pacheco's 2.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the NFL: 13th percentile for RBs.
Isiah Pacheco has been among the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus RBs this year, yielding 5.54 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.