Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Isiah Pacheco has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a terrific 100.0% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.
Isiah Pacheco has accrued a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 11th percentile among running backs.
Isiah Pacheco's 2.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the league: 11th percentile for RBs.
Isiah Pacheco has been among the bottom running backs in the pass game this year, averaging just 5.0 yards per game while checking in at the 23rd percentile among RBs.

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