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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Isiah Pacheco has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a terrific 100.0% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.
  • Isiah Pacheco has accrued a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 11th percentile among running backs.
  • Isiah Pacheco's 2.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the league: 11th percentile for RBs.
  • Isiah Pacheco has been among the bottom running backs in the pass game this year, averaging just 5.0 yards per game while checking in at the 23rd percentile among RBs.

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