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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Carries
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs as the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Isiah Pacheco to be a much smaller part of his offense's ground game this week (26.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (43.3% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Philadelphia's group of LBs has been excellent this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

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