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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Carries
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+119/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 132.5 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 35.8% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Isiah Pacheco has been a less important option in his team's rushing attack this year (48.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (64.1%).

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