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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run on 37.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • The model projects Isiah Pacheco to be much less involved in his team's running game in this game (45.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (56.0% in games he has played).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 2nd-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

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