Isiah Pacheco Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-102/-127).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
After taking on 40.9% of his team's carries last year, Isiah Pacheco has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, currently sitting at 59.9%.
When talking about run-blocking (and the effect it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs grades out as the best in the league last year.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Miami's DT corps has been awful this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 31.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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