Isiah Pacheco Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Isiah Pacheco has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (54.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (40.9%).
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league last year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 34.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Vikings defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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