Isiah Pacheco Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The projections expect Isiah Pacheco to notch 12.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Isiah Pacheco has earned 50.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Jets defensive ends project as the 7th-best collection of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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