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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Carries
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Isiah Pacheco to accrue 16.6 carries in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Isiah Pacheco has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (65.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (40.9%).
  • As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the best in the league last year.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's group of safeties has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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