Isiah Pacheco Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 7:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.2 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Isiah Pacheco to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game in this week's contest (18.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (64.0% in games he has played).
The Bills linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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