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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+106/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Isiah Pacheco to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (33.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (21.1% in games he has played).

The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 6th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the best DE corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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