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Isaiah McKenzie

Isaiah McKenzie Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Isaiah McKenzie Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The Bills are willing to include receivers in their running game, and Isaiah McKenzie has received 3.1% of rush attempts this year (94th percentile).

The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 29.4% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.77 seconds per snap.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-least yards in football (just 107 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

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