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Isaiah McKenzie

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Isaiah McKenzie Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Isaiah McKenzie has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (52.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (22.1%).
  • Isaiah McKenzie has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (12.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
  • Isaiah McKenzie's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 80.1% to 70.7%.
  • Isaiah McKenzie has been among the bottom wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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