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Isaiah McKenzie

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.46 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Isaiah McKenzie has accrued far more air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (12.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

Isaiah McKenzie's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 80.1% to 75.1%.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.17 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.

The Cleveland Browns defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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