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Isaiah McKenzie
NFL · Player Props
Isaiah McKenzie
WR · Buffalo Bills
Receiving Yards
Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Isaiah McKenzie Receiving Yards

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.46 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Isaiah McKenzie has accrued far more air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (12.0 per game).
Favors Under
  • The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
  • Isaiah McKenzie's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 80.1% to 75.1%.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.17 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.
  • The Cleveland Browns defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
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