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Isaiah McKenzie

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+278/-475).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +283 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +278.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Isaiah McKenzie has notched significantly more air yards this year (27.0 per game) than he did last year (12.0 per game).

Isaiah McKenzie's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 9.7.

Isaiah McKenzie ranks in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.50 per game.

The New York Jets defense has given up the 6th-most passing touchdowns in the league to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Isaiah McKenzie's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 80.1% to 71.6%.

The New York Jets pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.2%) versus wideouts this year (63.2%).

The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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