My Account Log Out

reorder

Isaiah McKenzie

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+239/-381).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +340 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +239.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.3 plays per game.

The Buffalo Bills have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's game.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Isaiah McKenzie to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (17.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.1% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 3rd-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to WRs: 1.17 per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Isaiah McKenzie has accumulated a measly 12.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 19th percentile among WRs.

Isaiah McKenzie's 10.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the NFL: 18th percentile for WRs.

More Isaiah McKenzie Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™