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Isaiah McKenzie

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Isaiah McKenzie Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+346/-669).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +369 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +346.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

Isaiah McKenzie has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.6% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Isaiah McKenzie has put up many more air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).

Isaiah McKenzie's 26.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 9.9.

Isaiah McKenzie grades out in the 81st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.77 seconds per snap.

The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Isaiah McKenzie's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.9% to 73.9%.

The Miami Dolphins defense has conceded the 4th-least passing touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.62 per game this year.

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